Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 71.853494 80.931730 90.206570 100.358897 111.127960 122.181464 134.355334
2025-10-05 60.636885 74.030001 88.296468 104.494213 122.251517 141.014830 162.231140
2025-10-12 53.192342 69.040442 86.449761 106.728525 129.455724 153.923585 182.046779
2025-10-19 45.835835 63.168498 82.776933 106.159553 132.882068 162.117123 196.183970
2025-10-26 39.877399 58.231759 79.579506 105.583353 135.815608 169.348507 208.875693
2025-11-02 35.525751 54.764572 77.715413 106.201697 139.811403 177.523770 222.401658
2025-11-09 31.083869 50.766549 74.875521 105.370505 141.874309 183.292236 233.025259
2025-11-16 27.687543 47.792972 73.036680 105.518641 144.901323 190.019263 244.613876
2025-11-23 24.191632 44.375712 70.399903 104.487017 146.355452 194.785202 253.832945
2025-11-30 22.096408 42.681972 69.815849 105.869548 150.609079 202.748463 266.690143
2025-12-07 20.327695 41.290772 69.509646 107.507230 155.100987 210.941370 279.777899
2025-12-14 17.766291 38.520430 67.212882 106.486016 156.234761 215.073486 288.051189
2025-12-21 14.997383 35.200838 64.025578 104.223397 155.787087 217.311616 294.128821
2025-12-28 14.467602 35.336904 65.574954 108.120733 163.018296 228.788143 311.156434
2026-01-04 13.511013 34.690981 65.968730 110.452916 168.255766 237.840777 325.299744
2026-01-11 11.800803 32.623321 64.229292 109.863803 169.738989 242.295058 333.932389
2026-01-18 10.264683 30.681949 62.558115 109.277777 171.158678 246.622313 342.374958
2026-01-25 9.181743 29.429959 61.824810 109.908011 174.095251 252.779144 352.994996
2026-02-01 7.861902 27.568513 60.072883 109.060541 175.065948 256.474136 360.616863
2026-02-08 6.890122 26.256107 59.081671 109.211583 177.292643 261.693585 370.062503
2026-02-15 5.781891 24.493043 57.286969 108.159641 177.889443 264.848137 376.971930
2026-02-22 5.232584 23.859275 57.245984 109.569383 181.712793 272.020612 388.772283
2026-03-01 4.773307 23.366164 57.400383 111.239098 185.869867 279.607687 401.081804